Physical AI

VLA models turn robots into software platforms; public markets underprice it because leaders are private

53 /100
conviction

Δ todayHumanoid $152M raise with Bosch manufacturing and claimed pre-orders plus Optimus factory expansion/imminent production hints mildly support the platform thesis while 30d relative prices stayed flat and no actual paid deployments were confirmed.

→ watch tomorrow: Any confirmed Optimus unit count or production start disclosure on the Tesla Q2 earnings call.

// conviction history — 1 day tracked

// the deal, stated upfront

KILL IF

Sector still pilot-stuck by mid-2027

DOUBLE DOWN IF

First profitable non-defense deployment at scale

// signals — daily score −2…+2 · last 14 runs

paid_deployments 3× 0

news of PAID commercial robot deployments (not pilots)

optimus_production 3× 1

Tesla Optimus production/unit news

price_momentum 1× 0

30d relative performance vs QQQ

// tickers — close 2026-07-22

ticker close 1d 30d vs QQQ 30d

TSLATesla 378.93 +2.5% -5.4% -1.2%

KOIDKOID 37.37 +3.3% -11.2% -7.0%

SYMSymbotic 42.86 +5.0% +2.8% +7.0%

// headlines — last 7 days of collected signal news

2026-07-22

Tesla Optimus Production Count Remains Zero as Q2 Earnings Call Looms Wednesday www.techtimes.com · optimus_production

Tesla’s AI Chief just hinted at something big for FSD v14 lite owners teslarati.com · optimus_production

Tesla's Optimus Factory at Giga Texas Is Growing Fast www.basenor.com · optimus_production

Humanoid Robots in 2026: What Is Actually Deployed - Technology Org technology.org · optimus_production

Tesla's EV platform powers Optimus scale production edge www.digitimes.com · optimus_production

Humanoid Raises $152 Million At $1.35 Billion Valuation: Europe’s Newest Robot Unicorn www.forbes.com · paid_deployments

London robotics startup Humanoid raises $152M Series A, with Bosch set to manufacture its wheeled robots at scale thenextweb.com · paid_deployments

Humanoid raises $152M at $1.35B valuation to bring human-like robots into factories - SiliconANGLE siliconangle.com · paid_deployments

+2 more collected